The Water Math

Do you actually need a water filter?

Most homes don't need the most expensive system. Answer a few questions and see whether you need treatment at all — and if so, which certified options fit your documented problem — with the real cost of each, side by side, so the long-term price is your call, not ours.

Mae
Mae: Before you buy a filter, read your free water report. Many homes don't need one.

Evidence behind this site: 201 studies and official sources · 47 certification listings read · 26 documented incidents · last checked 30 October 2026 · corrections

Already decided on an under-sink reverse-osmosis system? The one we'd start with: Waterdrop G3P800 — check what it is certified for in the details below before you buy.

See it at Waterdrop →

Not sure yet? The 6 questions below may tell you to buy nothing. Plain link: we earn nothing if you buy.

Your water, in 6 questions

There are no wrong answers, and "you don't need anything" is a real result. Pick "I don't know" whenever that's the honest answer.

1. Where does your water come from?
2. Do you have a water report or test?
3. What's the concrete problem? (select all that apply)
4. What water needs treating?
5. Your situation
6. Household

The kitchen-table math: a house of 7

Our "Ask Matt & Mae" episode used the older ZeroWater-branded filter (15 gallons, $13.33: $1,363 a year). This page uses the Culligan-branded pitcher on the IAPMO listing, with its own 20-gallon filter at $14.50. Corrected 21 October 2026 after an independent review. Change the calculator above for your own house.

Matt7 of us × 0.23 gallons a day × 365 = 587 gallons a year to drink and cook. That's the EPA's average, not a guess.
MaeAnd our lead-certified pitcher?
Matt20 gallons per filter → 587 ÷ 20 = 29.3 filters × $14.50 = $425 a year.
DavidUnder the sink, certified for lead too: $849 once. At our volume the filters run on the calendar (CF every 6 months, CB every 12, membrane every 24): with power and drain water, about $178 a year. It pays back against that pitcher in about 3.4 years.
MaeSo we keep $247 a year against that pitcher. But a lead-certified faucet filter is about $82 a year, with nothing to install under the sink.
IvyRead the water report first. If it says "fine" and the house has no old lead pipes, we might not need a filter at all.

Why lead is the number to check

There is no known safe level of lead in the body. Young children are most at risk: lead can lower IQ and harm attention and behaviour. In adults it is linked to higher blood pressure.

A pooled study of 1,333 children in seven cohorts found the steepest IQ loss at the lowest exposures: 3.9 IQ points as blood lead rose from 2.4 to 10 µg/dL [11]. In Flint, Michigan, the share of young children with elevated blood lead roughly doubled, from 2.4% to 4.9%, after the city changed its water source [12].

The EPA estimates up to 9 million lead service lines, the pipes from the water main under the street into a home, are still in use [9].

What a certificate means: to be certified for lead under NSF/ANSI 53, a filter must cut test water from 150 to 5 parts per billion [4]. Look for the standard and the word "lead" on the listing, not the box.

Most water reports say the water is fine. Yours is free and comes every year [8]. If it shows lead, choose a lead-certified filter. If it doesn't, you may need nothing.

Which filters are certified for both lead and PFAS? We checked the official listings →

Certified for lead, by type: pitchers · faucet mounts · countertop RO for renters

Bottled water: the costs nobody counts

Same 587 gallons a year for 7 people (EPA average use), bought in 16.9 oz bottles.

≈ 4,400plastic bottles a year
≈ 370a month to rinse, crush, bag and take to the curb
≈ 94 lbof water carried in from the car, every week (8.34 lb a gallon)
≈ $13a year in trash bags (estimate: 55–75 kitchen bags)

One extra store run a week, at the IRS rate for the full cost of driving (72.5¢ a mile, 2026) [13]:

Per year
$226

Fuel alone is about a quarter of that at today's $4.33 a gallon national average [14].

What we read for this page

New: the evidence library holds all 108 studies and official sources we read, sorted by theme. Each one has its numbers quoted, its limits stated and an evidence grade.

20 documents, including 2 peer-reviewed studies (14 journal pages). Checked 16 October 2026.

  1. CDC — Choosing a home water filter
  2. EPA — Home drinking water filtration fact sheet
  3. NSF — Home water treatment and certification
  4. NSF — Stricter requirements for lead reduction certification (5 ppb, 2020)
  5. IAPMO R&T — certificate listing for the Waterdrop G3P800 (NSF/ANSI 58)
  6. Waterdrop — G3P800 price and replacement filters (16 Oct 2026)
  7. Target — Culligan with ZeroWater Technology 6-pack filters $86.99 and 10-cup pitcher $22.99–29.99 (21 Oct 2026); older ZeroWater 12-pack $159.99
  8. Waterdrop — G3P800 replacement filters: CF 550 gal, CB 1,100 gal, RO 2,200 gal (21 Oct 2026)
  9. IAPMO R&T — listing WP-10570, Epic Smart Shield EWFESS4-DC: lead, mercury, asbestos, cysts, MTBE, turbidity, VOCs, NSF/ANSI 53-2021, 651 gallons (23 Oct 2026)
  10. Epic Water Filters — Smart Shield $129.00 incl. one filter; replacement filter $115.00 (23 Oct 2026)
  11. IAPMO R&T — listing W-11831, Frizzlife MK99/MP99/MS99/MV99 and SP99/SK99: lead and cysts, NSF/ANSI 53-2024 (21 Oct 2026)
  12. IAPMO R&T — listing W-17155, Culligan ZeroWater pitchers: lead + Total PFAS, 20 gallons per filter (20 Oct 2026)
  13. IAPMO R&T — listing WC-14805, Waterdrop G3P800: PFOA/PFOS (NSF/ANSI 53, 20 Oct 2026)
  14. Washington DOH — Consumer Confidence Report rule (yearly water report)
  15. Bloomberg Government — EPA: up to 9 million lead service lines (Oct 2024)
  16. DC Water — Health effects of lead, citing the CDC
  17. Lanphear BP et al. Low-level environmental lead exposure and children's intellectual function: an international pooled analysis. Environmental Health Perspectives 113(7):894–899, 2005. Peer-reviewed. Full text
  18. Hanna-Attisha M et al. Elevated blood lead levels in children associated with the Flint drinking water crisis. American Journal of Public Health 106:283–290, 2016. Peer-reviewed. Record
  19. IRS — 2026 standard mileage rate, 72.5¢ a mile
  20. AAA — national average gas price ($4.33, 16 Oct 2026)

Every recommendation is tied to a source

We follow the public guidance, not marketing copy:

How we choose — and what we won't do
Part of Do Your Own Math

Four calculators, one rule: show the math

The Water Math is one of four independent tools. Same method, same honesty rules — no fear-selling, sources for every claim, and "you don't need to buy anything" is always an allowed answer.

🚽
The Bidet Math →
What your bathroom really costs
🌀
The Air Math →
What size purifier your room needs
🛏️
The Sleep Math →
Cost per night of your mattress
How we work — method, money and mistakes

📍 New: what is in the water where you live

Type your ZIP code and see the PFAS and lithium results EPA measured at the water systems that serve it (UCMR 5, final dataset August 2026): 10,313 systems, 20,768 ZIP codes, compared with the 2024 limits. Nothing you type leaves your browser.

Look up your ZIP code →

📄 New: read your water report first

Your utility publishes a free yearly quality report. Ten minutes with it beats any filter ad — here's exactly which lines matter.

How to read your water quality report →

💧 What filtered water actually costs per gallon

A $35 pitcher and a $449 countertop system land within four cents of each other over five years — because filters, not machines, drive the cost. Full worked tables, every assumption shown.

See the cost-per-gallon math →

We read the certification listings

Every product on this page, checked against what NSF, IAPMO and the WQA actually list — the standard numbers, the reduction figures, and the gaps. One of our picks turned out to hold no certification at all for the thing we were recommending it for, so we changed the recommendation.

See what each filter is actually certified for →

Other honest calculators

Same idea, different purchase. Free, no sign-up, working shown.

All tools on Do Your Own Math →